It’s going to be at least four years of “Drill baby, drill!” as President-elect Donald Trump has said numerous times over the last few years.
With Trump’s election, the United States will now definitely withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement.
Trump is seeking to overhaul energy and environmental policies, aiming to dismantle the Left’s climate agenda and eliminate programs that impede the country’s economic growth. While President Joe Biden’s negotiators will be at this week’s COP talks in Azerbaijan, nothing they agree to will be binding for the Trump administration.
In fact, Reuters is reporting that Trump’s transition team has already prepared executive orders and proclamations on withdrawing from the Paris climate agreement and shrinking the size of some national monuments to allow more drilling and mining.
The new Trump administration will push for a major ramp up of oil and gas exploration within the US, roll back environmental protections as well as impose heavy tariffs on electric vehicles and solar panels coming from China.
Trump is also expected to end the pause on permitting new liquefied natural gas exports to big markets in Asia and Europe and revoke a waiver that allows California and other states to have tighter pollution standards, according to a New York Times report.
Trump is also reported to be under pressure to pull the US out of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) for the first time if he becomes president.
While leaving the Paris Agreement would be legally straightforward, legal experts had previously been divided on whether Trump could withdraw the US from the UNFCCC without the approval of the US Senate and – if he did – how easy it would be for a future president to re-join.
However, given that the Senate is now in Republican hands, Trump could move forward on this should he so choose.
The 2015 Paris Climate Agreement is an international treaty aimed at limiting global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius, with efforts to keep it under 1.5 degrees.
Democrats have made climate change and the goal of limiting global warning a new religion.
They claim Trump risks derailing American climate policy, as well as the global fight against climate change.
They have called his election a “crushing blow,” a “dark day for the climate,” and “the greatest civilizational and climatic setback on our planet.”
Democrats believe the Paris Climate Agreement represents a positive, collective global effort to address climate change.
As part of the Agreement, countries set nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, fostering accountability and progress tracking. Developed nations pledge financial and technical support to help developing countries transition to greener economies and adapt to climate impacts, which can alleviate economic inequality.
The US has already committed billions in American taxpayer dollars to developing countries, a move many conservatives are upset about.
Democrats say the agreement encourages investment in renewable energy, creating new economic sectors and jobs while reducing dependency on fossil fuels, potentially leading to cleaner air and healthier communities.
The agreement’s targets align with scientific consensus on climate change impacts, aiming to limit warming to reduce risks of extreme weather, sea-level rise, and other catastrophic effects.
But the arguments against the Paris Climate Agreement make more sense.
Conservatives are more skeptical about how much of global warming is caused by humans. Even if it is the case, enforcing heavy-handed regulations against American families while India and China thumb their noses at the US will get the climate nowhere.
One of the problems with the agreement is that countries are likely to fail to meet their targets without facing significant consequences since all commitments are non-binding, NDCs are voluntary and there are no strict enforcement mechanisms.
Current NDCs are not ambitious enough to achieve the agreement’s 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius goal, and existing pledges fall short of necessary reductions, risking severe climate impacts.
While developed countries are expected to help finance transitions, many experts argue that developing nations still face high economic costs, potentially stalling growth and poverty reduction efforts.
Disagreements over the financial obligations of developed countries to support climate action in developing nations persist, with some wealthier nations not meeting their promised contributions.
Changes in leadership, which happens frequently enough, result in a country withdrawing or reducing its commitments, as seen with the U.S. temporarily – and rightfully – withdrawing under the Trump administration.
Stricter regulations in one country will only drive companies to relocate to countries with less stringent climate policies, ultimately resulting in no global emissions reduction.
Conservatives also argue that some nations are setting low targets relative to their contribution to historical emissions or current economic capacity, leading to perceived or real inequities in climate responsibility.
What this all means is that the Paris Climate Agreement stands as a faulty, collaborative effort to address climate change with a flawed framework that encourages nations to set and meet their own goals, but ultimately fails to do anything in reality.
For this reason, concerns remain about the lack of binding commitments, potential economic impacts on developing nations, and adequacy of current targets to limit warming effectively.
Trump’s intent on pulling out of the Paris Climate Agreement means more jobs for American workers and more opportunities for American families.
At the end of the day, Trump has vowed to do what is good for America and he seems bent on that promise, global warming or not.
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